MacroSnaps26 July 2026
No. 21

Gold hit $850 an ounce in 1980. In today's money that was about $3,650, a peak it did not beat for 45 years.

Gold price since 1975, dollars per ounce. The solid line is the price at the time; the dashed line puts each price in 2026 dollars. The 1980 peak, worth about $3,650 today, stood unbeaten in real terms until 2025.
Price at the time$4,100(2026)In 2026 dollars$4,100(2026)

Gold price since 1975, dollars per ounce. The solid line is the price at the time; the dashed line puts each price in 2026 dollars. The 1980 peak, worth about $3,650 today, stood unbeaten in real terms until 2025.

Why this is happening
  • The 1980 high was a panic spike on runaway inflation. In today's money it was far above the $850 on the ticker, and gold then fell for twenty years.
  • Nominal records are cheap and misleading. Gold passed $850 again in 2008, but that was barely a third of the 1980 peak once you count inflation.
  • What changed recently is real. Central banks buying steadily and shifting out of dollars finally pushed gold past its 1980 peak in today's money, in 2025.
The take

A nominal record just means prices drifted up, as they always do. Beating 1980 in real terms took 45 years, and it says as much about the dollar quietly losing value as about gold. January's spike to $5,589 and the slide back below $4,200 since is a reminder that even this run moves in cycles.

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The underlying data

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