MacroSnaps15 July 2026
No. 10

Over 200 years, a dollar in stocks became millions; in gold it barely held its value.

Real value of $1 invested in 1802, after inflation, in US stocks versus gold.
Stocks$2,300,000(2024)Gold$4(2024)

Real value of $1 invested in 1802, after inflation, in US stocks versus gold.

Why this is happening
  • Stocks pay out the profits of growing companies and reinvest the rest, so each year of earnings compounds on the last across two centuries.
  • Gold pays nothing; it only roughly tracks the price level, so it preserves value but cannot compound.
  • Tiny differences in annual return become enormous gaps once they run for 200 years.
The take

The equity risk premium compounding over a lifetime is the whole game. Safety that earns nothing is its own kind of loss once you stretch the clock out far enough.

Source: Jeremy Siegel, Stocks for the Long Run
Marketsmacrosnaps.app

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The underlying data

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